(DCNF)—Vice President Kamala Harris’ senior campaign advisor David Plouffe said Sunday the Democratic Party’s panic over the close race with former President Donald Trump is a result of polling that showed a false lead.

Pollsters and pundits have warned about the tightening polls as November approaches, with reports claiming people within the party are growing “nervous,” according to CNN. Co-host Dan Pfeiffer asked Plouffe on “Pod Save America” if he was concerned about the race and whether it had “changed” in recent weeks, to which Plouffe responded that Harris has consistently been tied with Trump in the polls.

“So I know for all of us that want to see Kamala Harris win, we wish there was an easy pathway — that pathway does not exist. This is basically going to come down to, you know, history would suggest it’s not going to come down to several thousand votes in seven states, but it’s going to come down to a very narrow margin,” Plouffe said.

“I think the freakout is because there were a bunch of polls, I’d say in the last month, that showed a lead for Kamala Harris that was not real. It’s not what we were seeing — we’ve seen this thing basically be tied let’s say since mid-September,” Plouffe added. “This is the race we have, it’s the race we expected. I don’t think it’s going to open up for either candidate, I think it’s going to be close all the way in. I would just remind everybody, whether it’s internal data or public data, a poll that shows Donald Trump up 48, 47 that then shows us up 48, 47 is essentially the same thing. This thing’s going to be decided on the margins in these few number of states.”

Plouffe previously stated he believes Trump and Harris will remain tied until Election Day, but warned that Trump appears strong in this race.

WATCH:

“I think from the time Kamala Harris became the nominee we saw a lot of movement — five, six points depending on the state. But what we’ve seen for the last few weeks, and the data is consistent this week, is basically a tied race in seven states and I don’t think that’s going to change. So I think it’s 47, 48 for each of us. I’d still rather be Kamala Harris than Donald Trump because I think she’s got a slightly higher ceiling,” Plouffe said. “But the reality is Donald Trump barely won in [20]16, but barely lost in 20[20]. He’s a little stronger this time than he was last time, so he’s going to get 48% of the vote.”

Harris’ support among Hispanic and black voters has slipped in recent weeks compared to previous Democratic presidential candidates. A New York Times poll shows Harris trailing by six points among Hispanic voters compared to President Joe Biden’s 2020 numbers.

Trump has also gained ground with black voters, receiving 15% support, up from 9% in 2020, according to the same poll.

NBC News’ latest national poll, released Sunday, shows the two candidates deadlocked at 48% support, just three weeks from Election Day. RealClearPolling averages also show Trump with a narrow lead in swing states Arizona, Nevada, Michigan, Pennsylvania, North Carolina and Georgia, while Harris only holds a slim lead in Wisconsin.

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A brand new NBC News national poll shows the momentum that Trump has been able to create in recent weeks.

September’s NBC News national poll had Harris up by five points, but now in the latest poll the two candidates are tied…

In the new poll — which was conducted Oct. 4-8 — Harris gets support from 48% of registered voters in a head-to-head matchup, while Trump gets an identical 48%. Another 4% say they are undecided or wouldn’t vote for either option when forced to choose between those two major-party candidates.

That’s a change from September’s NBC News poll, which found Harris leading Trump by 5 points, 49%-44%, though that result was within the margin of error.

And when third-party candidates are included, that same poll shows that Trump is actually leading…

An expanded ballot including third-party candidates also shows this shift, with 47% of registered voters in the new poll picking Trump, 46% supporting Harris and a combined 7% picking other candidates or saying they’re undecided.

In September, however, Harris held a 6-point lead on this expanded ballot.

The mainstream media kept telling us that this was a “static” race.

But these numbers tell an entirely different story.

During a segment discussing this new poll, Steve Kornacki explained that Donald Trump’s favorability rating is rising and meanwhile the opposite is true for Kamala Harris.

Of course this isn’t the only poll that shows that Trump is building up momentum.

Journalist Mark Halperin says that private polling on both sides shows that the numbers are definitely moving in Trump’s favor right now…

“When I’ve reported over the last several days about private polling” which is favorable to Trump, says @MarkHalperin, “that is not Republican-only private polling. It’s reflected in the Democratic private polling, too. In fact, I think if you’d ask the Harris campaign about their polling, you’d hear a similar story. This is not spin by Republicans about secret or fake polls. This is what is happening in the data. And as we’ve said repeatedly, the public and private data differs. The public data is cheap and has issues in almost every case. It’s just the nature of the beast now for academic and media organizations, not every one, but most.”

This certainly does not mean that Trump has the election wrapped up.

So much could still happen between now and November.

In fact, some very disturbing allegations about Tim Walz are being released as I write this article. So we shall see what happens.

But right now the big online betting markets seem to think that Trump is going to win…

Former President Donald Trump is currently leading Vice President Kamala Harris by 10 points on the Polymarket prediction platform — a sharp reversal over betting odds in September.

According to the latest Polymarket data, Trump currently has a 55% chance of securing the Oval Office in November compared to Harris’ 45% chance.

The former President also reversed Harris’ lead in 4 of 6 swing states and now leads in Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, and Pennsylvania — with Arizona and Georgia representing the GOP candidate’s widest margins of victory.

About a month ago, the Democrats were feeling very confident.

But now panic is clearly starting to set in…

Of course, that has not stopped both parties from doing what they always do. In Democrats’ case, this appears to be the week when their traditional preëlection panic has set in. Strategists are now warning that Harris has “plateaued,” that she “needs to be more aggressive,” and that she has to reinvent herself as a centrist to “seal the deal.” In recent days, I’ve read articles dissecting her challenges with male voters, Black male voters, Arab voters, Latino voters, Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin voters. She also, apparently, has a Biden problem, a Bibi problem, and a hurricane problem.

Harris just isn’t very inspiring at all, and many people find her to be extremely annoying.

These flaws torpedoed her run for the presidency in 2020, and they are likely to be fatal this time around too.

If you want to run for president and win, you need to be a star.

It really is that simple.

The reason why Trump draws such large crowds to his rallies is because millions upon millions of Americans absolutely adore him.

That also makes Trump a target, and it appears that a “third assassination attempt” was just thwarted…

A third assassination attempt against former President Donald Trump was thwarted on Saturday after a Las Vegas man was arrested with weapons and fake passes about a half mile from Trump’s campaign rally in Coachella Valley, Riverside County Sheriff Chad Bianco said Sunday.

Deputies assigned to Trump’s rally said the driver, Vem Miller, rolled up in a black SUV to a checkpoint at the intersection of Avenue 52 and Celebration Drive around 5 p.m. He was found to be in illegal possession of a shotgun, loaded handgun, and a high-capacity magazine, the Riverside County Sheriff’s Department said in a news release.

Bianco told the Southern California News Group on Sunday that he believes Miller — who he said is a member of a right–leaning anti-government group — planned to kill Trump and that deputies thwarted the plan when Miller presented fake VIP and press passes at a checkpoint.

“They were different enough to cause the deputies alarm,” Bianco said. “We probably stopped another assassination attempt.”

As I have stated before, it really will be a miracle if Trump actually makes it to the election.

And no matter who ultimately emerges victorious, the truth is that we are a bitterly divided nation that is rapidly heading in the wrong direction.

Whether Trump wins or Harris wins, I am expecting tremendous civil unrest following the outcome of this election.

So those that are looking at election day as the finish line are getting it all wrong.

This election will not be the end of anything.  Instead, it will simply be the beginning of an entirely new chapter.

Michael’s new book entitled “Why” is available in paperback and for the Kindle on Amazon.com, and you can subscribe to his Substack newsletter at michaeltsnyder.substack.com.

Harris and Trump are currently deadlocked in the crucial commonwealth, according to the RealClearPolling average. Enten said on “CNN News Central” that securing Pennsylvania may be the deciding factor for winning the electoral college in November.

WATCH:

CNN's Harry Enten Sounds Alarm About Harris' Vanishing Lead In 'Very Pivotal' Swing State pic.twitter.com/Nlk0Hztm7S

— Daily Caller (@DailyCaller) September 9, 2024

“So I just want to take a look at Pennsylvania, Pennsylvania, Pennsylvania. And what we see is a tightening race in the commonwealth of Pennsylvania, alright? This is Harris versus Trump margin in the great commonwealth of Pennsylvania,” Enten told host John Berman. “A month ago, when you looked at the polls, New York Times plus four Harris, plus three Quinnipiac for Harris, Franklin & Marshall, plus three for Harris.”

“But look at polls that have come out over the last week or so. And what do we see? We see a much tighter race. We see a tie in the CBS News’ YouGov poll. We see a tie in the CNN/SSRS poll,” he continued. “And this, to me, is part of an emerging pattern, which is in a very pivotal state, what we saw was a small Harris lead, but within the margin of error becoming a race that is way, way, way too close to call at this particular point, one that is even.”

Berman asked Enten “how pivotal” winning Pennsylvania could be in the presidential election.

“Alright, so let’s take a look at this particular map. This is what the betting favorites, but what Kamala Harris taking the great commonwealth of Pennsylvania over here, what do we see? We see that Kamala Harris wins in this particular case,” Enten answered. “Look at that, with exactly 270 electoral votes to Donald Trump’s 268. All right, so Kamala Harris wins the electoral college when she wins the commonwealth of Pennsylvania.”

“But let’s take Pennsylvania out of Kamala Harris’ column and put ’em into Donald Trump’s column. Again with the betting favorites with Trump taking Pennsylvania, what happens when we turn Pennsylvania red? Well, take a look here,” he said. “Donald Trump wins in the Electoral College, 287 electoral votes to Kamala Harris’ 251 electoral votes. So that is why I say it is pivotal … The bottom line is it is so important. This state is very, very important.”

Trump is currently leading Harris among white likely voters without college degrees in Pennsylvania by 32 points, according to CNN’s late August polling. CNN political director David Chalian on Wednesday characterized these numbers as “a trouble sign for Harris.”

Trump is leading Harris 48% to 47% nationally, according to a Sunday New York Times/Siena College poll conducted from Sept. 3 to Sept. 6. Enten noted on Friday that Trump will win the election if he “outperforms his current polls by just a single point.”

All content created by the Daily Caller News Foundation, an independent and nonpartisan newswire service, is available without charge to any legitimate news publisher that can provide a large audience. All republished articles must include our logo, our reporter’s byline and their DCNF affiliation. For any questions about our guidelines or partnering with us, please contact [email protected].

Vice President Kamala Harris is leading Trump by just 0.2% in the top seven battleground states, according to the RealClearPolling average. Enten, on “CNN News Central,” noted that Harris’ narrow lead means Trump could win in November if his final vote tally exceeds present poll projections by just one point.

WATCH:

CNN Data Guru Says Trump Will Win If He 'Outperforms His Current Polls By Just A Single Point' pic.twitter.com/HwOwnMNeMU

— Daily Caller (@DailyCaller) September 6, 2024

“Look, most of the time there’s at least some stretch where one of the candidates is ahead by at least five points, at least three weeks in which one candidate led by at least five points, that happened in every single campaign from 1964 to 2020,” Enten told host John Berman. “How many days have we had this campaign where one candidate was ahead by at least five points nationally? Look at this zero, zero days, zero days. The fact is this race has been consistently tight in a way that we have never seen before.”

“Look at the Democrat versus Donald Trump and those seven closest battleground states. Look at the 2020 final margin and average across these seven states, it was Biden plus 0.9 points. You don‘t think that could get any closer? We can, in fact, get closer. Look right now, Kamala Harris up, but get this, by just 0.6 points on average, only about half a point, six-tenths of a point,” the data reporter added. “My goodness, gracious, that is how tight we are talking right now across these seven battleground states. It is a race, Mr. Berman, that is well within the margin of error when you look across these seven key battleground states that will determine this election.”

Democratic strategist James Carville in August warned his party not to be overconfident about Harris’ likelihood of winning, as Trump has historically outperformed his polling average. NBC News national political correspondent Steve Kornacki said on Tuesday that the vice president’s slim polling advantage over Trump may be insufficient to secure the electoral college as the former president outperformed polling expectations in both 2016 and 2020.

“Alright, so let’s just say the polls match up perfectly to what the results end up being. Kamala Harris would win this election with 292 electoral votes to Donald Trump’s 246. But let’s just say we move the current polls and let’s say the result differs … by a single percentage point and Donald Trump is the beneficiary of it,” Enten said. “Look at this, if Trump outperforms his current polls by just a single point, you take that Kamala Harris win and look at this.”

“Donald Trump gets 287 electoral votes because the bottom line is Pennsylvania would flip up here and you would also get this flip out in Nevada over here. And that, my friend, is what we’re talking about,” he continued. “We’re talking about the closest campaign in a generation where a single point could make all the difference in the world. John, this is a truly exciting race right now, where any slight movement can make all the difference in the world.”

All content created by the Daily Caller News Foundation, an independent and nonpartisan newswire service, is available without charge to any legitimate news publisher that can provide a large audience. All republished articles must include our logo, our reporter’s byline and their DCNF affiliation. For any questions about our guidelines or partnering with us, please contact [email protected].

(Daily Caller)—As President Joe Biden continues to poll behind former President Donald Trump for a potential head-to-head matchup in 2024, recent surveys indicate he is also faring much worse than the Republican on issues that are most important to voters.

Trump has been trending ahead of Biden in national and crucial battleground state polls a year out from a hypothetical rematch, and is currently up by 3.2 points in the RealClearPolitics (RCP) average. Additionally, Biden is down by double digits against Trump on questions of basic presidential competency, including the handling of voters’ top issues and concerns over the Democrat’s age, according to recent polling data.

“He should be worried, and Democrats more generally should be worried,” Dr. Charles Bullock, elections expert and political science professor at the University of Georgia, told the Daily Caller News Foundation. “The kinds of issues that Biden is trailing Trump on seem to be the issues that are foremost on most peoples’ minds.”

A Wall Street Journal survey released on Dec. 9 found that only 23% of voters believe Biden’s policies have helped them, compared to nearly 50% who said the same of Trump’s administration.

Ron Faucheux, president of nonpartisan polling firm President of Clarus Research Group, believes this statistic is “the worst omen for Biden,” and told the DCNF “this contrast is deadly” ahead of 2024.

“When Democrats decided to package their economic policies under the single label, ‘Bidenomics,’ it backfired, and gave a name to something voters neither liked nor trusted,” Faucheux said.

Inflation has spiked under the Biden administration, which many critics attribute to the president’s record spending advanced by congressional Democrats. The Inflation Reduction Act, the American Rescue Plan, the Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act and other pieces of Biden’s economic agenda are responsible for green-lighting trillions in spending.

The WSJ poll found that Biden was down by double digits against Trump on who voters trust to handle issues relating to the economy and inflation, as well as immigration, crime and the wars in Ukraine and Israel.

Recent battleground state polling has affirmed the national surveys, finding that Biden is far behind Trump on key issues voters are concerned about going into election year.

A Morning Consult/Bloomberg survey published Thursday shows that across seven swing states — Arizona, Georgia, Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Nevada and North Carolina — 51% of voters said the country’s economy was better off under Trump compared to 34% under Biden. The numbers were nearly identical when asked if they’re better off financially now than they were when Trump was president.

Trump also scored double-digits higher than Biden on who the electorate trusts to handle the economy, crime and immigration — which voters said were some of the most pressing issues to them ahead of 2024, according to the Morning Consult/Bloomberg poll.

CNN/SSRS polls in Michigan and Georgia released Monday indicated Trump scored far ahead of Biden for their respective “policy decisions on major issues.”

Another battleground state poll, conducted by Redfield & Wilton Strategies in Arizona, Georgia, Florida, North Carolina, Michigan and Pennsylvania, yielded similar results. In all of the states, Trump was ahead of Biden by double digits on issues concerning who “can get the economy going again” and “who will be tough on China.”

“The voters see the same decline for our country where we look weak. Where the economy’s bad, where our enemies are taking advantage of this weakness, and you’ve got a world where you’ve got really bad wars in Ukraine and now in the Middle East, and Biden can’t stop it,” John McLaughlin, CEO and partner of McLaughlin & Associates, which works closely with the Trump campaign, told the DCNF. “The sooner the election happens, the better off the voters will be, and the better off the country will be.”

Biden is also lagging far behind Trump on who voters believe are better fit to serve another term, given the current and former presidents are 81 and 77 years old, respectively.

Trump led Biden 45% to 29% on the question of who “is mentally up for the job” in the WSJ poll, and was ahead by 34 points on “physical stamina.”

An Economist/YouGov survey released Wednesday found that 55% of voters believe Biden’s health and age would “severely limit his ability to do the job,” while only 26% said the same of Trump.

The battleground state polls yielded similar results on the president’s sharpness, stamina and physical and mental health.

Bullock argued that Trump has been successful in messaging on the age issue, noting his “Sleepy Joe” nickname for Biden, posing a sharp contrast between the two men.

“It has taken hold, and it’s been augmented by some things, like when Biden stumbles or falls or that sort of thing,” Bullock told the DCNF. “Well, that kind of underscores, or reinforces, the message that Trump has been putting out.”

Additionally, polling suggests Trump fares better on some personal attributes that are essential to the presidency.

The Economist/YouGov poll found that only 36% of voters believe Biden is a strong leader, compared to nearly 60% who said the same of Trump. Biden was also down by double digits on questions of who the stronger leader is and who knows how to get things done in nearly all of the swing states Redfield & Wilton Strategies surveyed.

“All of these polls point to voters having already decided against Biden on the current merits,” Jon McHenry, a GOP polling analyst and vice president at North Star Opinion Research, told the DCNF. “They just don’t think he’s up to the job, whether we’re asking about traits like stamina and sharpness or about policies like the economy and immigration.”

The last time an incumbent president had nearly as low of an approval rating going into an election year as Biden does, it was Jimmy Carter in November 1979, according to Gallup. Biden’s most recent job performance score was at 37% in November, which is 3 points lower than Carter’s was just a year before he lost to Republican Ronald Reagan by nearly 10 points.

“As we move closer to the start of 2024, this may be the last opportunity for Biden to question his own political assumptions —and to decide not to run,” said Faucheux. “That would be the lighting strike that changes everything.”

The RCP average for a 2024 national Democratic and Republican primary, based on the most recent polling, indicates Biden and Trump are leading their respective fields with 68% and 60% support, respectively.

Neither Biden nor Trump’s campaigns responded to the DCNF’s requests for comment.

All content created by the Daily Caller News Foundation, an independent and nonpartisan newswire service, is available without charge to any legitimate news publisher that can provide a large audience. All republished articles must include our logo, our reporter’s byline and their DCNF affiliation. For any questions about our guidelines or partnering with us, please contact [email protected].

Biden’s support among young voters has fallen to single digits in recent polls by Quinnipiac, Fox News and Morning Consult, polls that show Trump leading among all voters, Politico noted.  Trump actually led Biden among young voters in a recent NBC News poll.

Biden’s drop in the polls has been notable since the Israeli Defense Forces launched military operations against Hamas after the radical Islamic terrorist group carried out a deadly terrorist attack on multiple locations in southern Israel Oct. 7, killing over 1,400 people, including at least 30 Americans. An AP-NORC poll showed that only 50% of Democrats approved of Biden’s handling of the conflict in the Middle East, while 46% disapproved.

Demonstrations across the United States, including on college campuses, featured speakers praising Hamas for “resisting” a so-called “occupation” of Palestine. Left-wing members of the House of Representatives known as “The Squad” released statements calling for a ceasefire almost immediately after Israel began its response to the Oct. 7 terrorist attack.

However, Biden was also losing support before the attacks.

Moreover, in addition to holding leads in national polls, Trump also led in swing states like Arizona and Michigan, which went for Biden in 2020 after going for Trump in 2016, Politico noted. In Michigan, Democrats have counted on heavy support from Muslim and Arab communities, which have been sympathetic to the Palestinians.

Biden also faces third-party challenges from other liberal candidates, including environmental advocate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. and Cornel West, who are running as independents, while 2016 Green Party presidential candidate Jill Stein announced she is seeking that party’s nomination in 2024. The centrist group No Labels has also floated the idea of fielding a “unity ticket” for the 2024 election.

All content created by the Daily Caller News Foundation, an independent and nonpartisan newswire service, is available without charge to any legitimate news publisher that can provide a large audience. All republished articles must include our logo, our reporter’s byline and their DCNF affiliation. For any questions about our guidelines or partnering with us, please contact [email protected].

That’s why it’s so comical that Trump-hating Fox News made a bold declaration that Florida Governor Ron DeSantis is now “closing the gap” with Donald Trump in the first caucus state, Iowa. They even not-so-subtly claimed credit for the event by noting that the bump took place after their GOP debate. But it’s all fiction. It’s wishful thinking. It’s “copium” that they can inject into their veins to ease symptoms from their Trump Derangement Syndrome (TDS).

Here’s their bold declaration:

Iowa poll shows Florida gov closing the gap on Trump after first Republican debate

Donald Trump remains on top of the polls among Republican presidential candidates, but the gap between the former president and his onetime political protégé could be narrowing following the first GOP debate.

A new poll from Public Opinion Strategies — a polling firm working for the DeSantis’ campaign — shows Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis closing in on Trump among Iowa voters. Releasing a campaign poll usually comes with an agenda or narrative and so the results should be taken with a grain of salt.

The poll, obtained by Fox News Digital, interviewed 400 Iowa likely GOP caucus-goers and included a ballot test that saw DeSantis rise from 14% support up to 21% post-debate.

At least they had the journalistic integrity to note that it was a DeSantis campaign poll, but here’s the thing. This article wasn’t intended to sway sentiment among their readers. It was intended to sway sentiment among the majority of people who will read the headline but never actually read the article. The headline doesn’t distinguish the type of poll it was. Anyone who just reads that headline will come away thinking DeSantis is closing the gab and Fox News helped.

Neither, of course, is true. The various less-biased polls (no poll is unbiased) following the debate and the handful of polls that took place after Trump was arrested in Georgia this week show Trump’s lead extending and DeSantis’s status as a distant second place in jeopardy. Some polls show he is now in third place behind Vivek Ramaswamy and two state polls have him in fourth place.

Some may try to fault the DeSantis campaign for this, but they’re just trying to do their jobs. This is a full-blown Fox News psyop intended to sway the headline-only readers into believing that DeSantis is making up lost ground. Most of their opinions hosts, nearly all of their news anchors, and the entirety of their executive leadership either hate Trump or at least prefer an alternative. This reaffirms my long-standing opinion that Fox News executives, most producers, and possibly some of their hosts were aware of the theft of the 2020 election… and some were directly involved. But that’s an accusation to flesh out some other time.

Sound off about this article on my Substack.