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A coffee shortage appears to be brewing as global supplies could shift into a deficit as drought in Brazil slashes output. This has resulted in surging wholesale prices and US supplies slumping to a six-year low. Savor today’s cheap cup of joe because retail prices are set to rise.
Article from Zero Hedge.
Besides the creeping deficit set to materialize this year, coffee importers in the US have also dealt with a global shortage of shipping containers. Christian Wolthers, the president of Wolthers Douque, an importer in Fort Lauderdale, Florida, told Bloomberg this has resulted in a logistical nightmare.
He estimates his shipping costs from South America have doubled, adding that “these bottlenecks are turning into a container nightmare.”
So maybe a perfect storm of factors from adverse weather conditions in South America to further fallout from a global shortage of shipping containers have pushed up Arabica-coffee futures in New York by nearly a quarter since late October.
Last month, unroasted US bean inventory declined by 8.3% from a year earlier to the smallest inventory levels since 2015.
In conjunction with adverse weather conditions in South America, lower inventories mean the coffee market will tighten and support higher prices.
Commodity experts at Marex Spectron estimate the 2021-22 global coffee deficit at around 10.7 million bags, compared with previous figures of approximately 8 million bags. They cite lower Brazilian arabica output after unfavorable weather destroyed crops.
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Goldman Sachs told clients in a recent commodity note that if production in South America doesn’t improve in the near term, the market could enter a structural deficit given the quick rebound in demand.
Logistical problems have been a significant issue for coffee exporters in South America. There’s a lot of product sitting inside Brazilian warehouses with nowhere to go because of the lack of shipping containers.
Luiz Alberto Azevedo Levy Jr., a director at Dinamo, who operates Brazil’s largest coffee warehouse, warned the situation would get much worse in the months ahead as volumes of coffee exported by Brazil may decline.
“Logistics have been a headache, dealing with lack of space and containers,” said Marco Figueiredo, trader and partner at the Florida-based Ally Coffee, a coffee merchant that imports beans from Brazil. “We are monitoring the situation and talking to clients, making them aware of the rising costs.”
Given adverse weather conditions in South America and supply chain woes still lingering from the pandemic, retail coffee prices are set to rise. So what does this mean? Well, probably now is the time to panic hoard coffee unless you don’t mind a little bit of inflation.
Most “Conservative” News Outlets Are on the Big Tech Teat
Not long ago, conservative media was not beholden to anyone. Today, most sites are stuck on the Big Tech gravy train.
I’ll keep this short. The rise of Pandemic Panic Theater, massive voter fraud, and other “taboo” topics have neutered a majority of conservative news sites. You’ll notice they are very careful about what topics they tackle. Sure, they’ll attack Critical Race Theory, Antifa, and the Biden-Harris regime, but you won’t see them going after George Soros, Bill Gates, the World Economic Forum, or the Deep State, among others.
The reason is simple. They are beholden to Big Tech, and Big Tech doesn’t allow certain topics to be discussed or they’ll cut you off. Far too many conservative news outlets rely on Google, Facebook, and Twitter for the bulk of their traffic. They depend on big checks from Google ads to keep the sites running. I don’t necessarily hold it against them. We all do what we need to do to survive. I just wish more would do like we have, which is to cut out Big Tech altogether.
We don’t get Google checks. We don’t have Facebook or Twitter buttons on our stories. We don’t have a YouTube Channel (banned), an Instagram profile (never made one), or a TikTok (no thanks, CCP). We’re not perfect, but we’re doing everything we can to not owe anything to anyone… other than our readers. We owe YOU the truth. We owe YOU the facts that others won’t reveal about topics that others won’t tackle. And we owe America, this great land that allows us to take hold of these opportunities.
Like I said, I don’t hold other conservative sites under too much scrutiny over their choices. It’s easy for people to point fingers when we’re not the ones paying their bills or supporting their families. I just wish there were more who would make the bold move. Today, only a handful of other major conservative news outlets have broken free from the Big Tech teat. Of course, we need help.
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